The Matchday 2 clash of the 2025/26 Champions League group stage between Barcelona and PSG will take place on October 1 at the Estadi Olímpic Lluís Companys. Barcelona vs. PSG: prediction, betting odds, and statistics.
Barcelona
In the previous round, the Catalans defeated Newcastle away, thanks to a brace from Marcus Rashford (2-1). This victory was their first in four Champions League matches (2 draws, 1 loss). It was also the first time during this stretch that Barcelona conceded fewer than three goals. The Spaniards have scored in 21 consecutive Champions League games, and in 5 of their last 6 matches, Hansi Flick's side has netted at least twice.
- Both teams scored in 8 of the last 10 Champions League matches involving the Catalans.
- The team has won 5 of their last 7 home matches in this tournament (2 draws).
- At least one goal was scored in both halves in 13 of Barcelona's last 15 home games in the Champions League.
Predicted lineup for Barcelona (3-4-3)
Wojciech Szczesny – Jules Kounde, Pau Cubarsi, Ronald Araujo – Alejandro Balde, Pedri, Dani Olmo, Frenkie de Jong – Marcus Rashford, Robert Lewandowski, Lamine Yamal.
Goalkeepers Joan Garcia, Marc-André ter Stegen, forward Raphinha Dias, and midfielders Fermin Lopez and Gavi are injured. Forward Lamine Yamal has recovered from an injury.
PSG
The Parisians began the tournament with a convincing victory over Atalanta (4-0). Luis Enrique's side has won 6 of their last 7 Champions League matches, and they managed to score even in the match they lost during this period. Moreover, the French team has scored at least twice in 5 of their last 6 matches in the Champions League. In the first round, PSG outperformed only Eintracht in terms of scoring, who managed to score 5 times.
- At least three goals were scored in 5 of PSG's last 6 matches in the Champions League.
- In 6 of their last 7 away matches in the Champions League, the club did not concede more than one goal.
- On the road in this tournament, the team has won 5 of their last 6 games (1 loss).
Predicted lineup for PSG (4-3-3)
Lucas Chevalier – Willian Pacho, Ilya Zabarnyi, Nuno Mendes, Achraf Hakimi – Fabian Ruiz, Warren Zaïre-Emery, Lee Kang-in – Bradley Barcola, Gonçalo Ramos, Ibrahima Mbaye.
In the team's infirmary are defender Marquinhos, forwards Désiré Doué, Khvicha Kvaratskhelia, and Ousmane Dembélé, who won the Ballon d'Or last week.
Referee
Michael Oliver (England)
Matches – 20 (International matches, 2024/25-2025/26);
Yellow cards shown (including second yellows) – 80;
Average yellow cards per match – 4;
Red cards shown – 3;
Average fouls per match – 23;
Penalties – 30%.
Barcelona vs. PSG: Match Prediction
The opponents have a rich history of encounters in the Champions League. All matches have provided plenty of emotions and goals. The upcoming meeting is unlikely to be an exception.
Before the match against Newcastle, the Catalans conceded 9 goals in three Champions League matches. They also failed to keep a clean sheet in England. On the international stage, Barcelona has defensive issues: in their last 10 Champions League matches, only two were clean sheets. In the upcoming match, Hansi Flick will also be missing two goalkeepers. But at least the head coach can rely on the attack: the club has scored at least twice in 12 of their last 14 Champions League matches.
The Parisians are impressive in terms of scoring, having netted 135 goals at the official level in 2025 – more than any team in the top 5 leagues. This number could be even higher, but the French team missed 4 of their last 8 penalties in the Champions League. On the road in this tournament, Luis Enrique's side has a 6-match scoring streak, during which the team scored 14 times. Unlike Barcelona, the club looks reliable in defense, but in the last 5 personal meetings with the Catalans in the Champions League, PSG conceded 12 goals. However, during this period, the team also scored 12 goals against the Spaniards.
My prediction: Total over 3
